Time for a quiz. Just three questions and then we'll see how we did.
1. Who is the current president of Honduras (10/2010)?
A. Roberto Micheletti
B. Porfirio Lobo Sosa
C. Manuel Zelaya
2. Who was the president of Honduras last year (10/2009)?
A. Roberto Micheletti
B. Porfirio Lobo Sosa
C. Manuel Zelaya
3. Who was the president of Honduras two years ago (10/2008)?
A. Roberto Micheletti
B. Porfirio Lobo Sosa
C. Manuel Zelaya
Don't worry, I'll give you the answers in a second. Now, most of you probably have no clue who the president of Honduras is or was, and that's probably okay. I would expect those people to have picked one person throughout the quiz, assuming that the presidency wouldn't change every year. A worthy strategy to be sure. If you picked randomly, questionable.
In any case, here are the answers:
1. Porfirio Lobo Sosa (10/2009)
2. Roberto Micheletti (10/2008)
3. Manuel Zelaya (10/2007)
How'd we do?
Okay, so now to the point. Honduran politics over the last two or three years have been tumultuous to say the least. If you don't care about this topic, I suggest you stop reading now because it will get dense. It all started back in 2006 with Manuel Zelaya and his election to the presidency.
Zelaya was born to a wealthy family that had made its fortunes in timber and logging in an eastern region of Honduras. Along the way, his father, also named Manuel Zelaya, was accused and convicted for playing a role in a small
massacre. Don't worry, he ended up only serving a year. But Manuel Jr. kept his nose clean mostly. He was accused of embezzlement as head of the Honduran Social Investment Fund, where he managed to lose $40M, but never convicted.
Then, in 2006 he was elected President of Honduras with 49% of the vote, beating out Porfirio Lobo Sosa, the current president. Under his leadership, Honduras moved to the left, joining a Venezuelan led alternative trading organization, increasing subsidies to small farmers, increasing the minimum wage by 80%, introducing free primary education, and pursuing other poverty alleviating measures. Not bad.
Then Zelaya did something drastic. In late 2008, he PROPOSED holding a national POLL that would gauge the nation's interest in forming a constituent assembly that could POSSIBLY modify the constitution. This alarmed many. Firstly, Zelaya, as empowered by the constitution, could already amend 368 of the 375 articles in the constitution without needing an assembly. While no one knows for sure what he wanted to amend, the
suspicion is that he was targeting three concerning presidential term limits, the permitted system of government, and the process of presidential succession. Sound like something Chavez might do? That's what others thought too.
Unfortunately for Zelaya, he then went on to say that an assembly could look at his possibly being re-elected (presumably by changing the constitution). However, this intention had previously been ruled un-constitutional by a Honduran court and was upheld by the Supreme Court. But, Zelaya proceeded anyways.
- 3/25/2009 - the Attorney General tells Zelaya to stop the poll
- 6/03/2009 - Congress passes a resolution against holding the poll
- 6/11/2009 - the Bar Association unanimously agrees the poll is a violation of the law
- 6/18/2009 - Law Tribunal orders Zelaya to comply with previous rulings
- 6/23/2009 - Congress passes a law forbidding polls this close to elections (like this one)
- 6/24/2009 - Zelaya fires the head of military command for not arranging the poll
- 6/24/2009 - the heads of the army, navy, and air force resign in protest
- 6/25/2009 - Supreme Court rules 5-0 that the dismissal was illegal and reinstates officials
And now it get's interesting. On the morning on which the poll was to be held, the military, under the orders of the Supreme Court, storms Zelaya's pad, disarming his guard, and rushing him off to an airport outside of Tegucigalpa (capital of Honduras, of course). From there, he was quickly whisked away to Costa Rica, to avoid general havoc and potential loss of life, according to the military. The Honduran government cut off most television and radio, blocked power and phone lines throughout much of Honduras, and suspended public transportation. That very same day, the next in line to the presidency was sworn in by Congress. Enter Roberto Micheletti.

Micheletti was from Zelaya's own party and had followed every Honduran law and organization out there all the way to being named president. But, the international community went up in arms. Not one single country recognized the new government. The UN, the US, the EU, neighboring Central American countries all issued statements condemning the "coup". Chavez threatened invasion (if his embassies were touched, what?) and Raul Castro pleaded that democracy be respected (again, what?) and Zelaya reinstated.
Conditions continued to exist in a state of craziness. Zelaya, in Costa Rica, dropped $80,000 of public funds in less than a week rebuilding his wardrobe and eating out, Micheletti imposed a curfew in Honduras and restricted basic rights (like freedom of speech and habeas corpus), and general mayhem and uncertainty reigned. Over the next month, Zelaya tried to re-enter the country twice and was twice rebuffed. However, third time was the charm and in September, Zelaya and his wife showed up at the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa after traveling for 15 hours via little-used, back roads through the mountains.

The government's response? Curfews, suspension of civil rights, and termination of utilities to the Brazilian embassy. Take that. They also selectively shut down pro-Zelaya media. Many countries demanded that Micheletti step down to let Zelaya resume the presidency but he refused to do so in advance of the elections due in November. He did agree to form a unity government, but Zelaya declined to submit a list of candidates so Micheletti went ahead without him and formed it on his own (uniting with whom, I wonder). Finally, the elections drew near and many major countries (including the US, thankfully) agreed to recognize the outcome
After the votes came in, Porfirio Lobo Sosa had won. Lobo came from the conservative party, unlike Zelaya and Micheletti, and had been the runner up to Zelaya three years before.
And with that, the rest of the world seemed to forget about Zelaya and the Constitutional Crisis. An exile for Zelaya was worked out and he left to the Dominican Republic in early 2010, Micheletti stepped down as planned, and the Honduran government was recognized once again by the international community.
So what is take away from all of this? On the one hand, you can look at the situation as a confirmation that the rule of law functions in Honduras. A popular president attempted to overstep his bounds, acting against the constitution and the Supreme Court. He was then removed, impeached, and replaced according to the proper legal process. However, on the other hand, you can view the situation as an over powerful elite acting to protect their own interests twisting laws and institutions to meet their ends. As I mentioned earlier, this is a very stratified society. A large portion of the media and of the corporations rests in the hands of small number of families. These people would have little interest in a strong, leftist president in the mold of Chavez or Morales running their country. In the end, both interpretations can be supported.
Now though, it seems to be fading into the past. The people seem to have put it behind them now that Lobo Sosa has been elected. Some refer to it as a "golpe de estado" (coup d'etat) while others do not. As it wasn't a rift along party lines, animosity seems to be at a minimum. So. What does all of this have to do with me? Not much. But how interesting.